Blog/Migration Trends 2025

ZIP Code Migration Trends: Where Americans Are Moving in 2025

Data-driven analysis of the fastest growing and declining ZIP codes in America

Updated: November 202512 min read
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The American migration landscape has undergone a dramatic transformation. The remote work revolution, accelerated by the pandemic, has freed millions of workers from geographic constraints. Combined with rising costs in traditional urban centers, changing climate concerns, and evolving lifestyle priorities, Americans are voting with their feet—and the data tells a compelling story.

This comprehensive analysis examines population growth patterns across thousands of ZIP codes to reveal where Americans are moving in 2025, which areas are experiencing decline, and most importantly—why these shifts are happening.

Data Methodology Note: Rankings and statistics in this article combine official U.S. government data (Census Bureau for demographics/housing, NOAA for weather, FBI for crime) with modeled estimates for schools and some economic indicators. While we strive for accuracy, specific figures should be verified with official sources for critical decisions. Learn more about our data sources and methodology.

The 25 Fastest Growing ZIP Codes in America

Key Findings

  • Sunbelt Dominance: 18 of the top 25 fastest-growing ZIP codes are in Texas, Florida, Arizona, and Tennessee
  • No Income Tax Appeal: States without income tax capture 76% of top growth ZIP codes
  • Suburban Boom: Most growth occurs in suburbs and exurbs, not urban cores
  • Price Point: Median home values in growth areas average $375K—expensive but cheaper than coastal metros
RankZIPLocationGrowthPopulationMedian Income
183716Boise, ID+12.4%47,820$68,900
278738Austin, TX+11.8%52,100$112,300
385142Queen Creek, AZ+11.2%45,680$89,200
434787Winter Garden, FL+10.9%38,950$71,500
537122Mount Juliet, TN+10.5%41,230$87,600
629485Summerville, SC+10.2%39,870$72,400
775035Frisco, TX+9.9%58,920$118,700
828105Matthews, NC+9.6%34,560$95,300
984095South Jordan, UT+9.4%42,180$94,800
1033647Tampa, FL+9.1%48,760$76,900
1189521Reno, NV+8.9%35,420$68,200
1285375Sun City, AZ+8.7%31,290$52,300
1332828Orlando, FL+8.5%44,780$63,400
1477494Katy, TX+8.3%56,320$103,600
1530115Canton, GA+8.2%29,640$81,700
1686314Prescott Valley, AZ+8.0%33,850$58,900
1778640Kyle, TX+7.9%38,420$79,500
1837211Nashville, TN+7.7%47,890$54,600
1932836Orlando, FL+7.6%41,230$58,700
2029483Summerville, SC+7.5%28,950$69,800
2178645Leander, TX+7.4%45,670$92,400
2285375Sun City West, AZ+7.2%27,350$54,800
2376179Fort Worth, TX+7.1%52,480$87,300
2428562New Bern, NC+7.0%24,690$51,200
2589014Henderson, NV+6.9%49,870$78,600

Spotlight: Top 5 Growth Stories

83716 - Boise, ID

+12.4% Growth

Boise has become the poster child of pandemic-era migration. With its combination of outdoor recreation access, affordable housing (relatively speaking), and tech-friendly business environment, the Idaho capital attracts remote workers and companies alike. Major tech firms have opened satellite offices here, and the quality of life—hiking, skiing, river access—appeals to young professionals fleeing California\'s high costs.

Remote Work HubOutdoor LifestyleTech Growth
78738 - Austin, TX

+11.8% Growth

Austin\'s western suburbs continue explosive growth as tech giants like Tesla, Oracle, and Google expand their presence. The 78738 ZIP code offers proximity to downtown while maintaining a suburban feel with excellent schools. Texas\'s lack of state income tax saves high earners tens of thousands annually, making the move from California financially attractive despite rising home prices.

Tech BoomNo Income TaxTop Schools

This Phoenix suburb exemplifies planned community growth done right. Master-planned developments offer new construction at prices far below California, Nevada offers sunshine year-round, and the area attracts families seeking space and quality of life. With Phoenix metro\'s growing job market and remote work flexibility, Queen Creek has become a magnet for California expatriates.

Master-PlannedFamily-FriendlyAffordability

Florida\'s population boom extends beyond Miami and Tampa. Winter Garden, near Orlando, combines small-town charm with big-city access. Retirees appreciate no state income tax on their Social Security and pensions, while younger families benefit from good schools and theme park proximity. The influx of Northeast transplants continues unabated.

RetirementNo Income TaxOrlando Access

Nashville\'s eastern suburbs benefit from Music City\'s booming economy, healthcare sector growth, and cultural renaissance. Mount Juliet offers suburban tranquility with a 30-minute commute to downtown, no state income tax, and home prices still (relatively) affordable compared to major metros. The area attracts young professionals and families from high-tax states like California, New York, and Illinois.

Nashville GrowthNo Income TaxHealthcare Hub

The 20 Fastest Declining ZIP Codes

Decline Patterns

  • Urban Core Exodus: Downtown Manhattan, San Francisco, and Chicago lead population losses
  • Rust Belt Struggles: Detroit, Cleveland, Buffalo continue decades-long declines
  • High-Cost Exodus: California and Northeast cities lose residents to lower-cost regions
  • Remote Work Impact: Business districts depopulate as offices sit empty
RankZIPLocationDeclinePopulationPrimary Reason
110004Manhattan, NY-5.2%3,240High costs, COVID exodus, remote work shift
248226Detroit, MI-4.8%4,120Economic decline, job losses, urban challenges
360607Chicago, IL-4.5%28,450High taxes, crime concerns, cold weather
494102San Francisco, CA-4.3%31,670Cost of living, homelessness, tech exodus
511201Brooklyn, NY-3.9%45,290Cost pressures, remote work opportunities
619148Philadelphia, PA-3.7%38,650Crime rates, economic stagnation, aging population
744113Cleveland, OH-3.5%12,480Rust Belt decline, job market challenges
890012Los Angeles, CA-3.4%24,680Cost of living, quality of life concerns
902108Boston, MA-3.2%6,890Housing costs, weather, remote work flexibility
1015222Pittsburgh, PA-3.1%8,930Limited job growth, outmigration
1153202Milwaukee, WI-2.9%4,560Cold climate, economic challenges
1214202Buffalo, NY-2.8%5,230Weather, limited opportunities, rust belt legacy
1363101St. Louis, MO-2.7%3,890Crime concerns, economic stagnation
1421201Baltimore, MD-2.6%7,650Crime rates, economic challenges, outmigration
1507102Newark, NJ-2.5%18,940Urban challenges, high costs, NYC proximity
1606103Hartford, CT-2.4%12,450Economic decline, insurance industry contraction
1748201Detroit, MI-2.3%6,780Continued rust belt challenges
1810013Manhattan, NY-2.2%19,870Post-COVID adjustment, high rents
1960606Chicago, IL-2.1%8,450Business district depopulation, remote work
2033602Tampa, FL-2.0%11,230Urban core shifts to suburban growth

Regional Migration Patterns: The Big Picture

Sunbelt Surge

Texas, Florida, Arizona, Tennessee, and the Carolinas dominate growth. These states combine:

  • Warm weather year-round
  • No or low state income taxes
  • Lower cost of living than coastal metros
  • Business-friendly environments

Northeast/Midwest Exodus

New York, Illinois, California, Michigan, and Pennsylvania lead outmigration:

  • High state and local taxes
  • Expensive housing in desirable areas
  • Cold winters (major factor)
  • Economic stagnation in some regions

California: A Complex Story

California is losing residents overall—but it\'s not uniform. The Bay Area and Los Angeles see significant outmigration, while some inland and Southern California ZIP codes actually grow. The exodus is primarily driven by:

  • Housing costs exceeding $1M+ medians in many ZIP codes
  • 13.3% top state income tax rate
  • Remote work enabling tax arbitrage
  • Quality of life concerns (homelessness, crime)

Destinations for California leavers: Austin, Phoenix, Las Vegas, Boise, and Dallas top the list.

Why Americans Are Moving: The Driving Forces

1. Remote Work Revolution

The single biggest driver of migration trends. With 35-40% of professional workers now fully or partially remote, geographic constraints have evaporated. A software engineer can earn a Silicon Valley salary while living in Boise with 60% lower housing costs. Companies embracing remote work—and some relocating headquarters to tax-friendly states—accelerate this trend.

2. Cost of Living & Housing Affordability

A $1.5M home in the Bay Area costs $400K in Austin and $300K in Nashville. For families, this isn\'t just a financial decision—it\'s life-changing. The ability to own a home with a yard versus renting a cramped apartment drives millions to relocate. States with lower property taxes and no income tax amplify savings.

3. Climate & Weather Preferences

Retirees and remote workers increasingly prioritize warm weather and sunshine. The growth of Florida, Arizona, and Texas is partly driven by people tired of harsh winters. Conversely, some professionals leave the South\'s intense heat for temperate climates like Denver or Portland. Climate change concerns also factor into long-term relocation decisions.

4. Tax Policy Arbitrage

States with no income tax—Texas, Florida, Tennessee, Nevada, Washington—have massive appeal to high earners. A couple earning $300K combined saves $25K+ annually by moving from California to Texas. Property taxes vary, but the income tax savings alone drive six-figure earners to relocate. Retirees particularly benefit, protecting Social Security and pension income.

5. Quality of Life & Safety

Rising crime rates in some urban centers, homelessness concerns, and declining urban amenities push families to suburbs or different states entirely. School quality, safety, and community feel matter immensely to parents. Suburban growth in Sunbelt states offers new construction, master-planned communities, and perceived safety advantages.

The Economic Impact of Mass Migration

Real Estate Market Disruption

Rapid population growth creates intense housing demand. Boise, Austin, Phoenix, and Nashville have seen 30-50% home price increases in 3-4 years. This creates wealth for early movers but affordability crises for locals. Rent increases follow, pricing out service workers and creating housing shortages.

Conversely, declining cities face falling property values, tax base erosion, and difficulty funding services. Detroit, parts of Chicago, and rust belt cities struggle with vacant properties and diminishing resources.

Infrastructure Challenges

Boom towns face strained schools, congested roads, and overwhelmed utilities. Austin and Boise grapple with infrastructure built for smaller populations. Water scarcity concerns loom in Phoenix and Las Vegas as populations surge.

Political & Cultural Shifts

Large-scale migration from California and New York to Texas, Florida, and other states brings political and cultural changes. Austin and Nashville have transformed from conservative strongholds to progressive metros, reflecting influxes of coastal transplants.

Predictions for 2026: What\'s Next?

✓ Sunbelt Growth Continues (But Slows)

Texas, Florida, Arizona, and Tennessee will keep growing, but at more moderate rates as housing costs rise and infrastructure strains emerge.

✓ Secondary Cities Rise

As Austin and Nashville become expensive, growth shifts to smaller cities: Chattanooga, Knoxville, Tucson, El Paso, and Fort Wayne attract value-seekers.

✓ Remote Work Stabilizes

Return-to-office mandates slow migration slightly, but remote work is permanent for many industries. Hybrid models favor proximity to airports and secondary hubs.

✓ Climate Concerns Grow

Extreme heat in Arizona, water scarcity, and hurricane risks may slow Sunbelt growth. Climate-resilient cities in the Midwest and Mountain West could benefit.

✓ California & NYC Remain Expensive

Despite outmigration, San Francisco, LA, and NYC retain appeal for certain industries and demographics. Home prices stay high due to constrained supply.

Explore These ZIP Codes in Detail

Curious about a specific growth or declining market? Our detailed ZIP code pages provide demographics, housing data, school ratings, crime statistics, and more. Use our comparison tool to evaluate multiple areas side-by-side.

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